Saturday, August 2, 2014

7 months later....

My newest projection formula is still not complete and will not factor any weather changes or individual statistics besides QB changes.  As far as entering box scores, I'm at the year 2005 (goal is to get to 1966, eventually).  I have one month to decide whether to use the previous formula or the newest one which isn't finished yet for my projected scores of 2014.

Thursday, January 2, 2014

Projection Formula 3.0

Even though my NFL formula has been defeating the spread at 58% for 2013, I plan on changing it again for the year 2014.

-The first Formula was only designed for weeks 8-17 and only worked when two categories (current, what's due) agreed versus the spread.

-The second Formula factored schedule strength (home vs road), momentum and included all the games from weeks 1-17 & playoffs.

The newest one I'm working on will factor QB changes, weather, and a further breakdown of individual statistics.  I also would like to record every box score from 1966 on a spreadsheet.  This project could take 5 years or be finished by the 2014 season.