Tuesday, March 15, 2011

This is harder than I thought

If I get half of the games right for a season at 60%, it will pay the same as if I got 56% for every game. So I've concentrated on working out a formula that guesses on every game (not just when both columns agree), and felt pretty good when I got 57% for every game during the 2010 season.

Then I went to the 2009 season with the same formula and got 54%. Not great, but not bad, so then I went to 2008 and got 49%. That sucks and is totally unacceptable since I can maintain at least 56.5% for at least half of the games with the old formula.

So I'm back to square one and it's frustrating. The NFL is locked out, the Kings are moving out of Sacramento, and I can't do a thing about it.